Milan real estate market price forecasts from 2018 to 2020.



Marco Cassanelli

A few days ago I attended the presentation of Nomisma's first 2018 report on performance of the Italian real estate market. For those who do not know, Nomisma is the society of studies that has been studying for the past 31 years real estate market in Italy.

The economic context of reference sees Italy in economic recovery + 1.6% since it sees us as rear light as the rest of Europe has + 3.6% and China + 6.8%.

In Italy there is a growth but without inflation a very new fact which puts a lot of uncertainty for the future in fact, Dr. Lucio Poma, if inflation is too much low affects expectations a fair inflation should be 2%.

Simply put, if goods cost consumers less and less they stop on the purchase of durable goods because they can not be seen growth on the horizon. In short, there is a significant growth of the Italian economy but that does not generate increases on wages and there are more occupied but income does not increase. So the economy starts again but moves in a great climate uncertainty, increases income but not the trust that the continuous income.

This introduction is the map that allows us to interpret the dynamic changes in the real estate market compared to those who do not have this information. Now we come to the real estate market between 2011 and 2014 the crisis had its effects on the exchanges and on property prices and in the period 2015/2017 there has been a stabilization of prices.

The crisis has eroded savings and families to buy home have had necessity and dependence on credit there is a boost to debt also for the rates of interests that have never been so low. The demand for purchase of houses that for a good 6 years it has been compressed and it has resulted in 2017, in short, people want to buy houses. Concludes Nomisma's managing director the dott. Dondi saying that the trades residential buildings are growing regarding the number of transactions but this growth will not be reflected on property prices The big cities are already growing with Milan that it is the out of class of Italy that detaches all the other cities all the other realities are still in recession the market has broken down but is fragile.

Milan has dynamics that are not comparable to none of the other Italian cities is too strong in other cities to stop the restart is a excess of unsold buildings The forecasts for 2018 on Milan see stable prices Case + 0.8% and offices + 0.2% will be a year of price consolidation.

The 2018/2020 forecasts see trades of residential properties rising but with stable prices up to 2020. The speed of market uptake is faster than the passed when the difference between asking price and price of sale is very low Different speech for houses with prices too high with sellers who are not willing to deal because the rigidity of prices is holding back the market of the sale of residential properties.

As for the real estate market all offices and shops non-residential buildings we are still in crisis also in Milan. For more information or questions or to find out if what your home is worth please contact me at +39 02 86 90 394. Marco Cassanelli

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